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Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Down, But NOT Out

I have started doing my research, and I have come across some interesting facts.

- The last Democratic Candidate in a Presidential General Election to win a southern state that they were not from was Bill Clinton (who is a southerner himself). Before him, it was Hubert Humphrey in 1968. He was from MO and won TX. Barack's HIGHEST delegate numbers (besides IL) came from Southern states that no Democrat has won is recent history. Is it realistic to assume that he, as an African American, would win those states? I only bring this up because of his inability to pull out a big win in the large states. NEXT POINT
- Hillary is pulling out the big state wins. If the Democratic Candidates were being chosen by the electoral college, Hillary Clinton would be winning 219 to 199, excluding Florida and Michigan in her count. With Florida and Michigan, she would add around 40. 270 are required to win. Ohio and Florida could swing either way, who can we count on to pull it out? Someone who has all ready done it. We would need those states, assuming that the nation would be "unified" in NY and CA. NY, CA, and MA can be counted on, and they are behind Hillary.

My point is, don't count Hillary out. She is in much better shape than most would say she is. She is winning the states that are realistic for a general election and that could propel a candidate to victory. Check out the facts. Unless we have another 1996 election and pull it out. All we need is PA, Hill! We are slightly down, BUT WE ARE NOT OUT.

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